Key take away from this report:

Estimated Containment Date: Tuesday July 04th, 2017 approx. 12:00 AM

https://inciweb.nwcg.gov/incident/5278/

Basic Information
Current as of 6/28/2017, 9:31:38 PM
Incident Type Wildfire
Cause Unknown
Date of Origin Saturday June 24th, 2017 approx. 04:00 PM
Location Bradshaw Ranger District, Prescott National Forest
Incident Commander John Pierson, Southwest Interagency Type 1 Team, Team 2
Incident Description Active Fire In Chaparral, Crowning, Torching, And Spotting
Current Situation
Total Personnel 752
Size 20,644 Acres
Percent of Perimeter Contained 1%
Estimated Containment Date Tuesday July 04th, 2017 approx. 12:00 AM
Fuels Involved

Chaparral (6 ft)

Short Grass (1 foot)

The primary carrier of the fire is chaparral, with heavy fuel concentrations of a significant dead

component, which will support up-hill runs as winds and temperatures increase.
Significant Events

Active

Uphill Runs

Long-range Spotting

Crowning

Poor humidity recovery and high temperatures allowed the fire to actively grow by early morning.

West/Southwest winds over the area. Wind driven crown fire ran through brush from Mayer-Goodwin Road, Northeast to Highway 69 North of Mayer
Outlook
Planned Actions

Point protection where possible

Scouting contingency lines

Establish solid anchor points

Projected Incident Activity

12 hrs – to beyond 72 hrs: high spread potential to the East/Northeast, with southwest winds of 15-20 mph and gusts up to 30. Flame lengths in the chaparral component is 12-15 feet and up to 50 feet where wind,slope and fuels align. Rate of spread in this fuel type will be up to or greater than 40 chains(880 yds)/hr with spotting potential greater than 1/4 mile.
Current Weather
Weather Concerns

Local Red Flag Warning was issued for anticipated critical weather conditions. However, dew points were up to 10-15F and RH increased 5-10% from Tuesday. Increased moisture and shading from smoke made the fire area more stable, but winds were similar to the day prior.

Temperatures 85-90 with RH 10-18% Ridge winds from SW 7-12 mph gusting 25-30 mph

Wednesday night Improved, but limited, RH recovery values of 20-30% over higher terrain and 30-40% in valleys. SW ridge wind gusts will weaken from W 4 mph with gusts to 10 mph towards sunset. Winds across lower terrain on Eastern side of fire will shift NW after 2400, with

10-20 mph winds down Breezy Pines Canyon.